Synthetic ISA Portfolio · derived from Q1 2026 13F-HR Filing accession 0002045724-26-000008

Putting Aschenbrenner’s book inside Your ISA,
without options.

The Situational Awareness 13F leans on options the way a working-class portfolio relies on broad-based ETFs. UK ISAs can’t hold options — but they can hold LSE-listed leveraged and inverse ETPs. Here’s a synthesised portfolio that chases roughly the same dollar-delta the fund is running, sized to a single pool of ISA capital.

Long sleeve
76%
18 US-listed shares · 1× delta
Inverse sleeve
24%
9 LSE-listed −3x ETPs
Net dollar delta emulated
$320.3M
long $4.09B · short $3.77B
13F lines folded in
29
2 skipped as immaterial / unreplicable
§ 01

The method.

From 13F lines to ISA weights

A 13F lists every position as a separate row — long stock, long call, long put — even when they’re on the same name. The first step is to net them, with a delta haircut. Common stock counts at 1.0 delta. Options on the 13F are reported at underlying notional, but a real at-the-money put or call has ~0.5 delta — meaning $1 of underlying notional translates into about $0.50 of actual dollar-of-direction exposure.

So for Micron: long $5.9M of stock + (0.5 × $422.3M calls) − (0.5 × $583.7M puts) = 5.9 + 211 − 292 = −$75M of net short dollar-delta. That’s the number the ISA targets.

Each net-long name becomes a direct purchase of the underlying US share. Most UK ISA providers (Hargreaves Lansdown, Interactive Investor, AJ Bell, Trading 212, Interactive Brokers UK) accept US equities into an ISA once a W-8BEN is on file.

Each net-short name becomes a position in an LSE-listed −3x daily-reset inverse ETP. To get $X of short delta you only need $X/3 of capital, because the ETP delivers 3× the inverse of its underlying. So if the delta-adjusted bet on NVIDIA is −$784M, the ISA emulator holds $784M / 3 ≈ $261M of 3SNV (GraniteShares 3x Short NVIDIA).

Five things this construction quietly assumes:

  1. Average option delta is ~0.5. Without strikes, that’s an ATM-mix proxy. Deep-ITM puts behave more like outright shorts (delta ~1); deep-OTM puts barely move (delta ~0.1). If you think the fund is buying cheap OTM tail-risk hedges, scale the inverse sleeve down; if you think it’s ITM-heavy, scale it up.
  2. Path-dependency of −3x daily-reset products is acceptable. Over multi-week holding periods in volatile markets, the product will drift below the implied 3× short return — sometimes meaningfully.
  3. Single-stock inverse ETPs exist for most of the put names. They do for NVDA, ASML, TSMC, Intel; they’re less certain for Broadcom, Micron, Oracle — flagged inline.
  4. You will rebalance. Daily-reset inverse ETPs need to be re-weighted on a regular cadence; let weights drift and the construction quietly degrades.
  5. Some 13F lines can’t be replicated cleanly. The 3x-short AMD product (3SMD) was terminated by GraniteShares in October 2025 after an intraday surge wiped out the index; AMD short exposure has to be picked up via a sector inverse or skipped.
§ 02

The allocation.

76% long · 24% inverse
ISA capital deployment · 100% deployed
Long stocks · 1× delta 76.5% Inverse −3x ETPs · synthetic short 23.5%
§ 03

The long sleeve.

18 US shares · 76.5% of ISA
Ticker Underlying Net 13F notional ISA instrument Capital % ISA Status
01 SNDK
SanDisk Corp
Memory/Storage
$918.7M
SNDK
NASDAQ · stock
$918.7M 17.19% US SHARE
SanDisk
02 BE
Bloom Energy Corp
Power / Energy
$906.4M
BE
NYSE · stock
$906.4M 16.96% US SHARE
Bloom Energy
03 CRWV
CoreWeave Inc
AI Cloud / GPU Hyperscale
$626.4M
CRWV
NASDAQ · stock
$626.4M 11.72% US SHARE
CoreWeave
04 IREN
IREN Limited
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$401.0M
IREN
NASDAQ · stock
$401.0M 7.50% US SHARE
IREN Ltd
05 CORZ
Core Scientific Inc New
AI Cloud / GPU Hyperscale
$389.1M
CORZ
NASDAQ · stock
$389.1M 7.28% US SHARE
Core Scientific
06 APLD
Applied Digital Corp
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$320.0M
APLD
NASDAQ · stock
$320.0M 5.99% US SHARE
Applied Digital
07 RIOT
Riot Platforms Inc
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$142.2M
RIOT
NASDAQ · stock
$142.2M 2.66% US SHARE
Riot Platforms
08 CLSK
CleanSpark Inc
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$104.5M
CLSK
NASDAQ · stock
$104.5M 1.95% US SHARE
CleanSpark
09 SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc
Power / Energy
$62.5M
SEI
NYSE · stock
$62.5M 1.17% US SHARE
Solaris Energy Infra
10 TE
T1 Energy Inc
Power / Energy
$43.9M
TE
NASDAQ · stock
$43.9M 0.82% US SHARE
T1 Energy — recent IPO, may not be on UK broker yet
11 BITF
Bitfarms Ltd
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$38.8M
BITF
NASDAQ · stock
$38.8M 0.73% US SHARE
Bitfarms
12 BTDR
Bitdeer Technologies Group
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$29.8M
BTDR
NASDAQ · stock
$29.8M 0.56% US SHARE
Bitdeer
13 PSIX
Power Solutions Intl Inc
Power / Energy
$26.3M
PSIX
NASDAQ · stock
$26.3M 0.49% US SHARE
Power Solutions Intl
14 WYFI
WhiteFiber Inc
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$20.9M
WYFI
NASDAQ · stock
$20.9M 0.39% VERIFY
WhiteFiber — recent IPO, may not be on UK broker yet
15 BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises
Power / Energy
$19.9M
BW
NYSE · stock
$19.9M 0.37% US SHARE
Babcock & Wilcox
16 SAI
SharonAI Holdings Inc
AI Cloud / GPU Hyperscale
$18.1M
SAI
NYSE · stock
$18.1M 0.34% VERIFY
SharonAI Holdings — recent listing
17 PUMP
ProPetro Holdings Corp
Power / Energy
$13.1M
PUMP
NYSE · stock
$13.1M 0.25% US SHARE
ProPetro
18 HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies Lt
AI Datacenter / Crypto Pivot
$6.4M
HIVE
NASDAQ · stock
$6.4M 0.12% US SHARE
HIVE Digital
§ 04

The inverse sleeve.

9 LSE −3x ETPs · 23.5% of ISA

Every name in this sleeve replaces a put position from the 13F. Sizing uses capital = |net short notional| / 3 so the daily P&L sensitivity approximates the original underlying notional. Rows tagged VERIFY are products I’m fairly confident exist on LSE but couldn’t fully confirm — cross-check ticker and availability with your broker before placing the order.

Ticker Underlying Net 13F notional ISA instrument Capital % ISA Status
01 SMH
VanEck ETF Trust
Semis (Big Cap)
$1.01B
SMHS
LSE · inverse-3x
$337.0M 6.31% CONFIRMED
Leverage Shares −3x Short Semiconductors ETP — proxy for SMH put
02 NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
Semis (Big Cap)
$783.6M
3SNV
LSE · inverse-3x
$261.2M 4.89% CONFIRMED
GraniteShares 3x Short NVIDIA Daily ETP
03 ORCL
Oracle Corp
Software / Cloud
$536.4M
SMHS+QQQS
LSE · fallback
$178.8M 3.35% FALLBACK
No confirmed UK-listed −3x Oracle product. Closest UCITS-eligible proxy is a tech/Nasdaq inverse (e.g. 3SQQ — −3x Short Nasdaq 100) covering Oracle's index exposure.
04 AVGO
Broadcom Inc
Semis (Big Cap)
$503.1M
3SBR
LSE · inverse-3x
$167.7M 3.14% VERIFY
Leverage Shares −3x Short Broadcom ETP (verify ticker / availability with broker)
05 AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc
Semis (Big Cap)
$464.4M
SMHS+SOXS-proxy
LSE · fallback
$154.8M 2.90% FALLBACK
GraniteShares 3SMD (−3x AMD) was terminated Oct 2025 after a 50%+ intraday surge wiped out the index. Closest substitute is to lean further into SMHS (AMD is ~5% of SMH) or skip the AMD short outright.
06 ASML
ASML Holdings N.V. N Y Registry
Semis (Big Cap)
$240.9M
AL3S
LSE · inverse-3x
$80.3M 1.50% CONFIRMED
Leverage Shares −3x Short ASML ETP (also ticker ASMS)
07 TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Semis (Big Cap)
$82.6M
TSMS
LSE · inverse-3x
$27.5M 0.51% CONFIRMED
Leverage Shares −3x Short Taiwan Semiconductor ETP
08 MU
Micron Technology Inc
Semis (Big Cap)
$74.8M
3SMI
LSE · inverse-3x
$24.9M 0.47% VERIFY
Leverage Shares / GraniteShares −3x Short Micron ETP (verify ticker / availability)
09 INTC
Intel Corp
Semis (Big Cap)
$70.6M
INTS
LSE · inverse-3x
$23.5M 0.44% CONFIRMED
Leverage Shares −3x Short Intel ETP
§ 05

Not replicated.

2 positions left out
Ticker Underlying Net 13F notional Side Reason for skip
GLW
Corning Inc
Optical / Networking
$9.8M SHORT Net short notional is only $20M of the $13.7B 13F book — sub-0.3% even before delta-haircut. Not worth a position line in an ISA.
INFY
Infosys Ltd
IT Services
$3.4M SHORT $7M notional. Below noise threshold.
§ 06

Risks & caveats.

Read before clicking buy

Don’t treat this as advice.

  • An option is not an inverse ETP. A long put has limited downside (the premium), a defined expiry, and gamma. A −3x ETP has unlimited downside on a short squeeze, no expiry, and decays in volatile sideways markets via the daily-reset mechanism. The dollar-delta on day one can be matched; the multi-month P&L will not be.
  • Single-stock leveraged ETPs can be terminated. GraniteShares closed its 3x Short AMD ETP in October 2025 after an intraday move broke the underlying index. Holders received residual cash. Position size accordingly.
  • ISA eligibility is broker-dependent. Most UK platforms accept LSE-listed leveraged/inverse ETPs in an ISA wrapper, but some restrict access to “complex” products until you complete an appropriateness questionnaire. Trading 212, IBKR UK, and ii are typically the most permissive; Vanguard ISA is the most restrictive.
  • US-share access varies. Some of the smallest 13F names — SharonAI Holdings, WhiteFiber, T1 Energy — are very recent listings and may not yet be available at every UK broker. Tagged VERIFY inline.
  • Net delta is mildly long-biased, not market neutral. The synthetic portfolio runs ~$X net long on a delta basis after netting. That’s by construction — mirroring the original book’s tilt — but it means a broad market drop will hurt despite the inverse sleeve.
  • This file is not financial advice. It’s a translation of a public SEC filing into instruments that happen to be available to UK retail investors. The author is not a financial adviser, makes no representations about suitability, and has no position in any of these securities at the time of writing.